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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.95+4.26vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.22vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+0.94vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+0.79vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.59+0.77vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.75-2.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.89-1.55vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.81-2.20vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26U. S. Naval Academy1.959.4%1st Place
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4.22University of Pennsylvania2.4214.1%1st Place
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3.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6517.1%1st Place
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4.79Georgetown University2.2012.6%1st Place
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5.77University of Pennsylvania1.596.9%1st Place
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3.83Georgetown University2.7517.5%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Naval Academy1.898.4%1st Place
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5.8Old Dominion University1.816.7%1st Place
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5.93St. Mary's College of Maryland1.667.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Trenton Shaw | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% |
Jordan Bruce | 14.1% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
Leo Boucher | 17.1% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
Diego Escobar | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
Christopher Sharpless | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 18.4% |
Mariner Fagan | 17.5% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
Cooper Walshe | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 13.6% |
Noyl Odom | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 18.4% |
Keiran James Golden | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.