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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+1.80vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.56+2.96vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.56+0.44vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64-0.68vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-0.08vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College1.73-2.78vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Monmouth University1.950.3%1st Place
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4.96Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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3.44Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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3.32Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.92Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.1%1st Place
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3.22Ocean County College1.730.2%1st Place
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5.32University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 27.3% | 22.9% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 24.7% |
| Casey Brown | 15.4% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
| Chris Myers | 19.9% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 22.7% | 24.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 19.9% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 21.7% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.