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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.38+3.63vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.97+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.43+1.26vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.30+0.01vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.75+2.03vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.46+0.58vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.65+0.02vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.76-2.91vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.51-2.45vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.11-0.45vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-2.87-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Northwestern University-0.389.8%1st Place
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2.17Michigan Technological University0.9740.8%1st Place
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4.26University of Michigan-0.4311.7%1st Place
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4.01Michigan Technological University-0.3014.1%1st Place
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7.03Hope College-1.752.9%1st Place
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6.58Northern Michigan University-1.463.8%1st Place
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7.02Michigan State University-1.653.1%1st Place
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5.09Grand Valley State University-0.767.3%1st Place
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6.55Northern Michigan University-1.514.5%1st Place
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9.55Saginaw Valley State University-3.110.5%1st Place
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9.11University of Toledo-2.871.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 40.8% | 27.4% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 11.7% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alex Cross | 14.1% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Daub | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 5.0% |
| Lawrence Busse | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 5.1% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 3.0% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 22.6% | 47.3% |
| Cooper Avery | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 25.2% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.