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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+3.27vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+0.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.68+1.94vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.81+0.49vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.81+1.39vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.54-2.82vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.74-0.28vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.75-1.39vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.34-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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2.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.3%1st Place
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4.94U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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4.49Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.39Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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3.18Old Dominion University3.540.2%1st Place
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6.72George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.61Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Megan Magill | 27.6% | 22.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sara Burke | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| Lauren Burke | 10.1% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Alison Love | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 24.4% |
| Katrina Williams | 22.0% | 20.6% | 20.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 22.4% | 27.4% |
| Joan Boyle | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 26.8% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.