Race 1A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Sofia Segalla 17.6% 18.2% 17.3% 14.8% 13.5% 10.0% 6.6% 2.0%
Piper Holthus 27.1% 21.6% 19.1% 14.1% 9.6% 5.3% 2.7% 0.5%
Madison Bashaw 14.9% 15.2% 15.8% 16.9% 16.2% 11.7% 6.2% 2.9%
Elizabeth Gildea 8.1% 8.3% 9.3% 12.4% 14.2% 18.6% 16.8% 12.3%
Aubin Hattendorf 4.0% 6.0% 6.0% 8.2% 10.4% 13.8% 19.9% 31.6%
Kelly Bates 16.9% 17.8% 17.6% 15.6% 13.8% 9.3% 6.7% 2.5%
Grace Watlington 5.3% 6.2% 7.4% 9.3% 10.9% 14.9% 21.6% 24.2%
Lily Flack 6.0% 6.7% 7.2% 8.7% 11.5% 16.4% 19.6% 23.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.