← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.95+4.28vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.75+1.75vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.25vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-0.02vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.20-0.20vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.59-0.24vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy1.89-1.56vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.81-2.26vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.28U. S. Naval Academy1.959.6%1st Place
-
3.75Georgetown University2.7519.1%1st Place
-
4.25University of Pennsylvania2.4214.6%1st Place
-
3.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6515.7%1st Place
-
4.8Georgetown University2.2012.2%1st Place
-
5.76University of Pennsylvania1.597.4%1st Place
-
5.44U. S. Naval Academy1.898.1%1st Place
-
5.74Old Dominion University1.817.2%1st Place
-
6.0St. Mary's College of Maryland1.666.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trenton Shaw | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
Mariner Fagan | 19.1% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
Jordan Bruce | 14.6% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
Leo Boucher | 15.7% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
Diego Escobar | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.8% |
Christopher Sharpless | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 20.0% |
Cooper Walshe | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.0% |
Noyl Odom | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 18.1% |
Keiran James Golden | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.