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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+1.81vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.56+1.36vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.56+2.03vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology0.65+0.89vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.64-1.61vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College1.73-2.80vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Monmouth University1.950.3%1st Place
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3.36Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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5.03Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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4.89Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.1%1st Place
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3.39Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.2Ocean County College1.730.2%1st Place
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5.33University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 27.6% | 22.4% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Casey Brown | 16.8% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 23.3% | 26.5% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 23.0% | 23.5% |
| Chris Myers | 16.9% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Zachary Schippe | 21.1% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 2.4% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 22.1% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.