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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.95+4.00vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+3.60vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+0.49vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52-0.05vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-1.34vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Old Dominion University0.957.2%1st Place
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5.6Christopher Newport University0.655.9%1st Place
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3.49Georgetown University1.8618.4%1st Place
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3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7616.5%1st Place
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3.6University of Pennsylvania1.7717.6%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Naval Academy0.525.1%1st Place
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5.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.615.9%1st Place
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2.98Georgetown University2.2023.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 12.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 23.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 18.4% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 16.5% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 17.6% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 20.7% | 31.2% |
| Lily Flack | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 25.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 23.3% | 22.6% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.