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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+2.87vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+1.71vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+2.72vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.95+1.30vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.01+0.15vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.89-0.57vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.59-2.25vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.42-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6518.1%1st Place
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3.71Georgetown University2.7517.8%1st Place
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5.72Old Dominion University1.817.2%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Naval Academy1.958.8%1st Place
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5.15Georgetown University2.0110.5%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Naval Academy1.899.2%1st Place
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5.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.667.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Pennsylvania1.597.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Pennsylvania2.4214.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Leo Boucher | 18.1% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
Mariner Fagan | 17.8% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
Noyl Odom | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 17.2% |
Trenton Shaw | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% |
Daniel Hughes | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
Cooper Walshe | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 12.6% |
Keiran James Golden | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 19.9% |
Christopher Sharpless | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 18.9% |
Jordan Bruce | 14.1% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.