← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.90vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College1.73+1.84vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University1.95+0.50vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute1.56+0.15vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University1.64-0.99vs Predicted
-
6Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-0.34vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.08+0.44vs Predicted
-
8Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.9University of Pennsylvania3.160.5%1st Place
-
3.84Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
-
3.5Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
-
4.15Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
-
4.01Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
-
5.66Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
-
7.44University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.080.0%1st Place
-
5.5Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 49.7% | 25.8% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 10.8% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Paul Stevens | 14.0% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Casey Brown | 8.6% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 1.1% |
| Chris Myers | 9.4% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 31.1% | 11.8% |
| Justin Plott | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 11.9% | 75.8% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 2.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 23.0% | 27.7% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.