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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.52vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.80vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86-0.51vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+0.69vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95-1.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52-1.12vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Georgetown University2.2027.0%1st Place
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3.52University of Pennsylvania1.7717.1%1st Place
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3.8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7615.9%1st Place
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3.49Georgetown University1.8617.2%1st Place
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5.69St. Mary's College of Maryland0.615.8%1st Place
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4.97Old Dominion University0.957.4%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Naval Academy0.524.7%1st Place
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5.76Christopher Newport University0.655.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 27.0% | 22.4% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 17.1% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 15.9% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 17.2% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Lily Flack | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 25.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 11.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 30.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 22.2% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.