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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+2.45vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.56+3.72vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.56+1.10vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64-0.01vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College1.73-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.09vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.08-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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5.72Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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4.1Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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3.99Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.83Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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1.91University of Pennsylvania3.160.5%1st Place
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5.56Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 14.2% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 2.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 21.6% | 31.4% | 12.3% |
| Casey Brown | 10.2% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 8.4% | 1.3% |
| Chris Myers | 9.7% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Schippe | 11.3% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Swikart | 47.6% | 27.5% | 15.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 21.8% | 29.8% | 9.5% |
| Justin Plott | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 12.8% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.