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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.07vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.64+1.01vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College1.73-0.12vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.56-0.90vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-0.51vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.08-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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1.93University of Pennsylvania3.160.5%1st Place
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4.01Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.88Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.1Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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5.49Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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5.7Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 14.7% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 47.6% | 27.0% | 14.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 9.7% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 1.2% |
| Zachary Schippe | 11.4% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Casey Brown | 8.5% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 8.6% | 1.0% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 27.9% | 9.4% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 31.5% | 12.1% |
| Justin Plott | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 13.0% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.