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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.58vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+1.49vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20-0.09vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+1.66vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52-0.14vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95-2.00vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of Pennsylvania1.7717.9%1st Place
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3.49Georgetown University1.8618.1%1st Place
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2.91Georgetown University2.2025.2%1st Place
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5.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.615.2%1st Place
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3.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7615.6%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Naval Academy0.524.9%1st Place
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5.0Old Dominion University0.957.5%1st Place
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5.69Christopher Newport University0.655.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 17.9% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 18.1% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 25.2% | 22.8% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Lily Flack | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 20.5% | 24.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 15.6% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 28.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 12.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.