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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.89+4.29vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.01+3.20vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.59+2.78vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.95+1.22vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-1.04vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81-0.36vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-1.07vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.73vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.75-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy1.899.0%1st Place
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5.2Georgetown University2.0110.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Pennsylvania1.597.8%1st Place
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5.22U. S. Naval Academy1.9511.0%1st Place
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3.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6515.6%1st Place
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5.64Old Dominion University1.817.6%1st Place
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5.93St. Mary's College of Maryland1.666.7%1st Place
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4.27University of Pennsylvania2.4214.5%1st Place
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3.7Georgetown University2.7517.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Cooper Walshe | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% |
Daniel Hughes | 10.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% |
Christopher Sharpless | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 18.2% |
Trenton Shaw | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% |
Leo Boucher | 15.6% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
Noyl Odom | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 17.0% |
Keiran James Golden | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 19.9% |
Jordan Bruce | 14.5% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
Mariner Fagan | 17.6% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.