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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.90vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University1.95+1.51vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.64+0.97vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College1.73-0.12vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology0.65+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.08+1.42vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-1.29vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.56-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Pennsylvania3.160.5%1st Place
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3.51Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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3.97Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.88Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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5.57Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.080.0%1st Place
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5.71Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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4.04Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 48.7% | 26.5% | 15.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Paul Stevens | 13.5% | 19.2% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Chris Myers | 9.9% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Zachary Schippe | 10.8% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 23.2% | 29.5% | 8.8% |
| Justin Plott | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 14.0% | 73.3% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 20.0% | 31.3% | 13.3% |
| Casey Brown | 9.4% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.