← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66+4.92vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.75+1.73vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.01+2.22vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy1.89+1.32vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-1.00vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.42-1.82vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania1.59-1.40vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy1.95-2.74vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.81-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.92St. Mary's College of Maryland1.666.9%1st Place
-
3.73Georgetown University2.7519.4%1st Place
-
5.22Georgetown University2.0110.1%1st Place
-
5.32U. S. Naval Academy1.899.1%1st Place
-
4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6514.9%1st Place
-
4.18University of Pennsylvania2.4214.0%1st Place
-
5.6University of Pennsylvania1.598.2%1st Place
-
5.26U. S. Naval Academy1.959.9%1st Place
-
5.77Old Dominion University1.817.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keiran James Golden | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 20.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 19.4% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Hughes | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% |
| Cooper Walshe | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 14.9% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 14.0% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 16.6% |
| Trenton Shaw | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.