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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+2.42vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.56+2.13vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College1.73+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.08vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.64-1.00vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.65-0.49vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.08-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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4.13Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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3.86Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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1.92University of Pennsylvania3.160.5%1st Place
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4.0Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.51Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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5.71Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 15.0% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Casey Brown | 9.5% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 1.6% |
| Zachary Schippe | 11.3% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 46.8% | 28.0% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 9.8% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 7.2% | 0.7% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 20.9% | 28.4% | 9.3% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 20.2% | 32.4% | 12.0% |
| Justin Plott | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 12.0% | 75.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.