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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+1.14vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.02+1.29vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.30+0.92vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.76+0.77vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.84+2.09vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.71+0.75vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.46-0.75vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.51-1.66vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-3.11+0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.87-0.93vs Predicted
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11Hope College-1.75-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Michigan Technological University0.9740.9%1st Place
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3.29Michigan State University0.0218.9%1st Place
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3.92Michigan Technological University-0.3012.2%1st Place
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4.77Grand Valley State University-0.768.6%1st Place
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7.09Northwestern University-1.842.4%1st Place
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6.75University of Michigan-1.713.3%1st Place
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6.25Northern Michigan University-1.464.2%1st Place
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6.34Northern Michigan University-1.514.9%1st Place
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9.46Saginaw Valley State University-3.110.9%1st Place
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9.07University of Toledo-2.870.9%1st Place
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6.92Hope College-1.752.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 40.9% | 27.5% | 17.3% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 18.9% | 21.3% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 12.2% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| John Tirpak | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 5.8% |
| Andrew Beute | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 3.9% |
| Lawrence Busse | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 21.2% | 46.1% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 25.4% | 34.0% |
| Matthew Daub | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.