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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.64vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+0.91vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.70vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86-0.51vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+0.07vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52-0.13vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-1.35vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Pennsylvania1.7718.1%1st Place
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2.91Georgetown University2.2025.4%1st Place
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3.7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7616.4%1st Place
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3.49Georgetown University1.8617.9%1st Place
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5.07Old Dominion University0.956.8%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Naval Academy0.524.6%1st Place
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5.65St. Mary's College of Maryland0.615.8%1st Place
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5.67Christopher Newport University0.654.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 18.1% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 25.4% | 22.6% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 16.4% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 17.9% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 13.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 29.5% |
| Lily Flack | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 20.2% | 24.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 21.4% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.