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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+3.11vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.22+2.28vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.87+0.11vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-0.34vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.79-1.77vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.23-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania-1.37-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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4.28Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.11Webb Institute0.870.2%1st Place
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3.66Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.2%1st Place
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3.23Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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4.99Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Pennsylvania-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Christiani | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 5.2% |
| Erin Hub | 23.4% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Guenther | 16.0% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Liam Boyle | 21.4% | 22.3% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Marciano | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 11.3% |
| Andrew Kelley | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 25.0% | 25.9% |
| Shuchun Wang | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 21.6% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.