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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.22+3.16vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.79+1.22vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.18vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute0.87-0.84vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-1.40vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.23-0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-1.11vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania-1.37-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.22Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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4.18Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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3.16Webb Institute0.870.2%1st Place
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3.6Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.2%1st Place
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5.04Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Pennsylvania-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Ciccariello | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 4.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 21.6% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Christiani | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 4.3% |
| Erin Hub | 23.2% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Guenther | 15.7% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Marciano | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 11.9% |
| Andrew Kelley | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 23.3% | 26.4% |
| Shuchun Wang | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 22.5% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.