← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.75+2.71vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy1.95+3.29vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+0.94vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy1.89+1.31vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.01+0.19vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.81-0.26vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania1.59-1.24vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.79vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.71Georgetown University2.7518.9%1st Place
-
5.29U. S. Naval Academy1.9510.0%1st Place
-
3.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6515.1%1st Place
-
5.31U. S. Naval Academy1.898.2%1st Place
-
5.19Georgetown University2.018.6%1st Place
-
5.74Old Dominion University1.817.7%1st Place
-
5.76University of Pennsylvania1.597.9%1st Place
-
4.21University of Pennsylvania2.4217.2%1st Place
-
5.86St. Mary's College of Maryland1.666.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mariner Fagan | 18.9% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
Trenton Shaw | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 11.0% |
Leo Boucher | 15.1% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
Cooper Walshe | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.2% |
Daniel Hughes | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% |
Noyl Odom | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 18.9% |
Christopher Sharpless | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 18.6% |
Jordan Bruce | 17.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
Keiran James Golden | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.