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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.59vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.95+2.89vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+0.49vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20-1.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.52+0.81vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-0.29vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.10vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Pennsylvania1.7717.7%1st Place
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4.89Old Dominion University0.958.4%1st Place
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3.49Georgetown University1.8618.1%1st Place
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2.86Georgetown University2.2026.1%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Naval Academy0.525.2%1st Place
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.614.7%1st Place
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3.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7614.5%1st Place
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5.75Christopher Newport University0.655.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 17.7% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 11.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 18.1% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 26.1% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 29.0% |
| Lily Flack | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 24.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 14.5% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 20.0% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.