← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ocean County College0.79+2.13vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute0.87+1.06vs Predicted
-
3Stevens Institute of Technology0.57+0.57vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University0.22+0.15vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University-0.23-0.03vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania-1.37+0.64vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.54vs Predicted
-
8Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.13Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
-
3.06Webb Institute0.870.2%1st Place
-
3.57Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.2%1st Place
-
4.15Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
-
4.97Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
-
6.64University of Pennsylvania-1.370.0%1st Place
-
6.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
-
4.01Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 21.6% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Erin Hub | 23.7% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Guenther | 17.5% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Matthew Marciano | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 7.7% |
| Shuchun Wang | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 22.8% | 44.8% |
| Christopher Cormier | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 28.9% | 37.4% |
| Daniel Christiani | 12.7% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.