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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.95+4.23vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.11vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+0.91vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.75-0.25vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.81+0.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.89-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.59-1.16vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.01-2.86vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23U. S. Naval Academy1.9510.4%1st Place
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4.11University of Pennsylvania2.4215.3%1st Place
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3.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6517.6%1st Place
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3.75Georgetown University2.7518.4%1st Place
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5.74Old Dominion University1.817.2%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Naval Academy1.898.4%1st Place
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5.84University of Pennsylvania1.596.0%1st Place
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5.14Georgetown University2.019.6%1st Place
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5.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.666.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Trenton Shaw | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.2% |
Jordan Bruce | 15.3% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
Leo Boucher | 17.6% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
Mariner Fagan | 18.4% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
Noyl Odom | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 16.8% |
Cooper Walshe | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.6% |
Christopher Sharpless | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 17.8% |
Daniel Hughes | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% |
Keiran James Golden | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.