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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+3.06vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.79+1.19vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.87+0.05vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.22+0.12vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania-1.37+0.63vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.23-2.00vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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3.19Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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3.05Webb Institute0.870.2%1st Place
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4.12Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.56Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.2%1st Place
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6.63University of Pennsylvania-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.0Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Christiani | 13.4% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% |
| Liam Boyle | 20.9% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Erin Hub | 24.6% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 12.1% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Guenther | 16.1% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Shuchun Wang | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 23.7% | 44.7% |
| Matthew Marciano | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 11.7% |
| Christopher Cormier | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 14.4% | 28.7% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.