Race 8A

oyster-bowl-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Sofia Segalla 17.0% 18.4% 16.2% 15.0% 14.4% 10.4% 6.2% 2.4%
Elizabeth Gildea 7.1% 8.1% 10.5% 12.8% 15.8% 17.2% 16.4% 12.2%
Piper Holthus 25.4% 24.1% 19.2% 13.9% 8.8% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7%
Kelly Bates 18.8% 17.4% 18.2% 16.7% 12.3% 9.4% 5.1% 1.9%
Aubin Hattendorf 4.3% 5.3% 6.5% 8.2% 10.8% 14.1% 21.1% 29.8%
Madison Bashaw 16.6% 15.3% 15.2% 16.2% 15.2% 10.8% 7.8% 3.0%
Lily Flack 4.9% 6.4% 7.4% 7.4% 12.6% 15.9% 20.3% 25.1%
Grace Watlington 5.9% 5.1% 6.8% 10.0% 10.2% 16.5% 20.8% 24.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.