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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.89+4.40vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+3.78vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+0.92vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.75-0.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.95+0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.42-1.74vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.66-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.59-2.32vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.01-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4U. S. Naval Academy1.898.9%1st Place
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5.78Old Dominion University1.817.6%1st Place
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3.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6516.4%1st Place
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3.71Georgetown University2.7519.4%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Naval Academy1.959.7%1st Place
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4.26University of Pennsylvania2.4213.8%1st Place
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5.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.667.2%1st Place
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5.68University of Pennsylvania1.596.9%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University2.0110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Cooper Walshe | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.2% |
Noyl Odom | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 17.8% |
Leo Boucher | 16.4% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
Mariner Fagan | 19.4% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
Trenton Shaw | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.6% |
Jordan Bruce | 13.8% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
Keiran James Golden | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 19.9% |
Christopher Sharpless | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 17.8% |
Daniel Hughes | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.