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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.87+1.96vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.79+1.19vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.23+1.93vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.22+0.14vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21+0.41vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-3.40vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania-1.37-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Webb Institute0.870.2%1st Place
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3.19Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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4.93Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.14Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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4.12Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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3.6Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.2%1st Place
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6.64University of Pennsylvania-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Hub | 24.8% | 22.5% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Liam Boyle | 20.7% | 21.3% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Marciano | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 8.9% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 12.3% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Daniel Christiani | 11.9% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Cormier | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 24.9% | 37.4% |
| Matthew Guenther | 17.6% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Shuchun Wang | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 26.2% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.