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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.79+2.10vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.22+2.18vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology0.57+0.55vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute0.87-0.94vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-0.88vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.23-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania-1.37-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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4.18Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.55Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.2%1st Place
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3.06Webb Institute0.870.2%1st Place
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4.12Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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4.9Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Pennsylvania-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 22.6% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 11.8% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Guenther | 17.8% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Erin Hub | 23.6% | 22.9% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Christiani | 10.7% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Marciano | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 17.0% | 9.0% |
| Shuchun Wang | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 23.2% | 47.5% |
| Christopher Cormier | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 28.1% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.