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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.79+2.14vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.22+2.19vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.10vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-0.46vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.87-1.90vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21+0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania-1.37-0.34vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.23-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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4.19Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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4.1Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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3.54Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.2%1st Place
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3.1Webb Institute0.870.2%1st Place
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6.42University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Pennsylvania-1.370.0%1st Place
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4.85Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 22.4% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 12.0% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 3.1% |
| Daniel Christiani | 12.4% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Guenther | 17.4% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Erin Hub | 22.7% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Cormier | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 14.5% | 27.1% | 36.3% |
| Shuchun Wang | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 24.2% | 46.5% |
| Matthew Marciano | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.