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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+2.62vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.03+1.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.34-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.30+0.95vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.38+1.68vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.07-0.48vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.66+0.73vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-2.10+2.69vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.70-2.31vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.88vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.55-1.43vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.55-0.75vs Predicted
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14McGill University-1.03-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Tufts University1.5118.4%1st Place
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3.16Roger Williams University1.6023.5%1st Place
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4.27University of Rhode Island1.0313.5%1st Place
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3.42Brown University1.3421.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island0.306.6%1st Place
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7.68University of New Hampshire-0.382.9%1st Place
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6.52Yale University0.075.9%1st Place
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8.73Fairfield University-0.661.8%1st Place
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11.69Middlebury College-2.100.4%1st Place
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7.69Salve Regina University-0.703.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.420.7%1st Place
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10.57Bates College-1.550.8%1st Place
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12.25University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.550.4%1st Place
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9.34McGill University-1.031.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 18.4% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 23.5% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 13.5% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 21.0% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Beck Lorsch | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew White | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 25.1% | 27.6% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 7.8% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 12.1% |
| Javi Muliro | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 45.2% |
| Finn Bascio | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.