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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.79+2.13vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.22+2.19vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology0.57+0.54vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute0.87-0.95vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.23-0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania-1.37-0.33vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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4.19Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.54Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.2%1st Place
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3.05Webb Institute0.870.2%1st Place
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4.97Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Pennsylvania-1.370.0%1st Place
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4.01Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 22.1% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 11.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Guenther | 17.6% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Erin Hub | 23.5% | 22.5% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Marciano | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 7.8% |
| Christopher Cormier | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 16.2% | 25.3% | 36.4% |
| Shuchun Wang | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 25.4% | 45.9% |
| Daniel Christiani | 13.7% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.