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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.34+2.42vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.03+1.29vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.70+3.62vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.07+1.55vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.60-2.84vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.30-1.06vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.26vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+1.22vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.66-1.43vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-2.10+0.63vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.55-1.46vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.55-0.74vs Predicted
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14McGill University-1.03-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Brown University1.3421.8%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University1.5117.5%1st Place
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4.29University of Rhode Island1.0313.3%1st Place
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7.62Salve Regina University-0.702.8%1st Place
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6.55Yale University0.074.7%1st Place
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3.16Roger Williams University1.6023.2%1st Place
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5.94University of Rhode Island0.306.5%1st Place
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7.74University of New Hampshire-0.382.9%1st Place
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10.22University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.5%1st Place
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8.57Fairfield University-0.662.5%1st Place
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11.63Middlebury College-2.100.5%1st Place
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10.54Bates College-1.550.7%1st Place
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12.26University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.550.1%1st Place
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9.34McGill University-1.032.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
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Grant Adam | 21.8% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Connor Rosow | 17.5% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Tyler Miller | 13.3% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Sean Crandall | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Beck Lorsch | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Jack Roman | 23.2% | 21.8% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Willem Weinberg | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Sean Lund | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Andy Giaya | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 9.3% |
Andrew White | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
Patrick Stevenson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 25.4% | 27.1% |
Gray Dinsel | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 11.2% |
Javi Muliro | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 46.2% |
Finn Bascio | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.