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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.87+1.96vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.22+2.16vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology0.57+0.55vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+0.13vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.23-0.04vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.79-2.86vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania-1.37-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Webb Institute0.870.2%1st Place
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4.16Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.55Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.2%1st Place
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4.13Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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4.96Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.14Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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6.48University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Pennsylvania-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Hub | 25.0% | 21.6% | 19.5% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Guenther | 16.8% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Christiani | 12.6% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Marciano | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 8.3% |
| Liam Boyle | 21.8% | 21.3% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Cormier | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 26.3% | 39.6% |
| Shuchun Wang | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 25.7% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.