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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+2.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.34+1.40vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.03+1.38vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.70+3.76vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51-1.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.07+0.55vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.68+3.65vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.20vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.66-0.38vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.30-3.99vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.65vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.55-1.22vs Predicted
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13McGill University-1.03-3.68vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.55-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Roger Williams University1.6023.4%1st Place
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3.4Brown University1.3421.0%1st Place
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4.38University of Rhode Island1.0313.0%1st Place
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7.76Salve Regina University-0.702.8%1st Place
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3.8Tufts University1.5117.3%1st Place
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6.55Yale University0.075.6%1st Place
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10.65Middlebury College-1.681.1%1st Place
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7.8University of New Hampshire-0.382.9%1st Place
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8.62Fairfield University-0.662.2%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island0.305.9%1st Place
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10.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.4%1st Place
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10.78Bates College-1.550.9%1st Place
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9.32McGill University-1.032.2%1st Place
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12.43University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.550.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 23.4% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 21.0% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 13.0% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Connor Rosow | 17.3% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Robin Potter | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 16.1% |
| Sean Lund | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Andrew White | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Willem Weinberg | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 9.8% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 20.5% | 13.9% |
| Finn Bascio | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 4.7% |
| Javi Muliro | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.