Race 12B

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ella Beck 16.2% 19.7% 17.3% 16.2% 11.8% 8.6% 5.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 40.4% 24.9% 16.2% 9.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Garrett Szlachta 8.4% 9.3% 10.8% 11.8% 13.5% 14.5% 9.7% 10.0% 6.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Nathan Sylvester 3.4% 4.3% 6.6% 6.6% 9.6% 10.4% 11.8% 13.0% 12.7% 12.0% 7.2% 2.4%
Alex Cross 10.7% 13.1% 14.7% 15.8% 15.2% 11.2% 9.4% 5.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Beute 2.9% 4.3% 5.1% 6.0% 7.0% 9.6% 11.1% 12.2% 13.4% 12.6% 11.3% 4.5%
Lawrence Busse 3.6% 5.1% 4.9% 8.0% 8.2% 10.8% 11.6% 12.6% 12.4% 12.8% 7.5% 2.5%
Aiden Truesdell 6.8% 9.7% 12.2% 11.2% 12.0% 10.6% 12.8% 10.2% 7.0% 4.6% 2.3% 0.5%
John Tirpak 3.1% 3.9% 4.2% 5.5% 5.9% 7.1% 9.9% 10.9% 14.3% 16.3% 12.8% 6.0%
Claire DeVoogd 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 3.7% 4.9% 6.5% 10.8% 22.2% 43.0%
Matthew Daub 3.1% 3.8% 5.0% 5.8% 6.8% 8.3% 10.4% 11.1% 14.3% 14.4% 12.0% 5.1%
Cooper Avery 0.7% 1.2% 2.1% 1.7% 2.6% 3.9% 3.8% 6.2% 8.6% 10.8% 22.8% 35.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.