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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+2.18vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.34+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.03+1.31vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.07+2.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51-1.19vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.38+1.74vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.66+1.80vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.30-2.00vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.70-1.29vs Predicted
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10McGill University-1.03-0.76vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.68-0.13vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.64vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.55-2.36vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.55-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Roger Williams University1.6023.4%1st Place
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3.34Brown University1.3421.8%1st Place
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4.31University of Rhode Island1.0312.4%1st Place
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6.5Yale University0.074.9%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University1.5115.8%1st Place
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7.74University of New Hampshire-0.383.4%1st Place
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8.8Fairfield University-0.662.5%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island0.306.3%1st Place
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7.71Salve Regina University-0.703.5%1st Place
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9.24McGill University-1.032.4%1st Place
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10.87Middlebury College-1.680.9%1st Place
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10.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.1%1st Place
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10.64Bates College-1.550.9%1st Place
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12.51University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.550.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 23.4% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 21.8% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 15.8% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Andrew White | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Willem Weinberg | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Finn Bascio | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Robin Potter | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 22.2% | 15.9% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 9.2% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 13.8% |
| Javi Muliro | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.