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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.79+2.00vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.84vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.22+0.94vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute0.87-1.06vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-1.57vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.96-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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3.84Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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3.94Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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2.94Webb Institute0.870.3%1st Place
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3.43Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.2%1st Place
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5.67Monmouth University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Boyle | 24.9% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Daniel Christiani | 11.6% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 6.5% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 12.1% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 7.8% |
| Erin Hub | 25.3% | 20.4% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Guenther | 16.5% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| Shawn Diamond | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 21.1% | 45.8% |
| Andrew Kelley | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 26.7% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.