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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.03+3.24vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+1.18vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+0.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.34-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.30+0.95vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.07+0.61vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.70+0.67vs Predicted
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8McGill University-1.03+1.17vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.38-1.35vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.68+0.73vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.64vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.66-3.20vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.55-2.35vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.07-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24University of Rhode Island1.0314.4%1st Place
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3.18Roger Williams University1.6022.7%1st Place
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3.65Tufts University1.5117.4%1st Place
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3.42Brown University1.3421.3%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island0.306.2%1st Place
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6.61Yale University0.074.2%1st Place
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7.67Salve Regina University-0.702.9%1st Place
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9.17McGill University-1.032.6%1st Place
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7.65University of New Hampshire-0.382.9%1st Place
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10.73Middlebury College-1.680.8%1st Place
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10.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.4%1st Place
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8.8Fairfield University-0.662.1%1st Place
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10.65Bates College-1.550.8%1st Place
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12.92University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Miller | 14.4% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 22.7% | 20.9% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 17.4% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 21.3% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Finn Bascio | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| Sean Lund | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Robin Potter | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 22.7% | 11.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 7.8% |
| Andrew White | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 23.1% | 10.1% |
| Alan Andonian | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.