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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology0.57+2.32vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.79+0.99vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.22+0.95vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-0.11vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.87-2.03vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.96-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.70-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.2%1st Place
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2.99Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
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3.95Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.89Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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2.97Webb Institute0.870.2%1st Place
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5.7Monmouth University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Guenther | 19.4% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
| Liam Boyle | 22.7% | 21.9% | 19.3% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 12.4% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 8.1% |
| Daniel Christiani | 12.8% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 6.8% |
| Erin Hub | 23.4% | 23.6% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Shawn Diamond | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 21.4% | 45.9% |
| Andrew Kelley | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 26.4% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.