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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+2.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+1.67vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.34+0.43vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.30+1.92vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.03-0.66vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.07+0.47vs Predicted
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7McGill University-1.03+2.30vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.23vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.70-1.38vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.66-1.15vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.55-0.56vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.07+0.97vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.68-2.23vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Roger Williams University1.6024.1%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University1.5119.4%1st Place
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3.43Brown University1.3419.6%1st Place
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5.92University of Rhode Island0.306.8%1st Place
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4.34University of Rhode Island1.0312.3%1st Place
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6.47Yale University0.074.8%1st Place
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9.3McGill University-1.032.1%1st Place
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7.77University of New Hampshire-0.383.2%1st Place
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7.62Salve Regina University-0.702.5%1st Place
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8.85Fairfield University-0.661.6%1st Place
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10.44Bates College-1.551.2%1st Place
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12.97University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.070.2%1st Place
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10.77Middlebury College-1.680.7%1st Place
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10.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 24.1% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 19.4% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Grant Adam | 19.6% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Miller | 12.3% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Finn Bascio | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 2.8% |
| Sean Lund | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew White | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 8.8% |
| Alan Andonian | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 64.5% |
| Robin Potter | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 23.3% | 12.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.