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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.03+2.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+0.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.34-0.66vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.38+2.52vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.30+0.09vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.70+0.53vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.07-1.60vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.66-0.42vs Predicted
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10McGill University-1.03-0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.97vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.68-1.44vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.55-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Roger Williams University1.6022.6%1st Place
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4.38University of Rhode Island1.0312.2%1st Place
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3.64Tufts University1.5118.3%1st Place
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3.34Brown University1.3422.4%1st Place
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7.52University of New Hampshire-0.383.5%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island0.305.3%1st Place
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7.53Salve Regina University-0.703.5%1st Place
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6.4Yale University0.075.4%1st Place
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8.58Fairfield University-0.662.5%1st Place
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9.18McGill University-1.031.7%1st Place
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10.03University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.2%1st Place
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10.56Middlebury College-1.680.7%1st Place
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10.53Bates College-1.550.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 22.6% | 21.5% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 18.3% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 22.4% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Willem Weinberg | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Beck Lorsch | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Andrew White | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 6.8% |
| Finn Bascio | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 19.8% |
| Robin Potter | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 29.4% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 20.3% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.