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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.03+2.32vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.34+0.37vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.60-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.38+2.69vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.07+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.30-1.20vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.70-0.38vs Predicted
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9McGill University-1.03+0.28vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.06vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.66-2.41vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.68-1.32vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.55-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Tufts University1.5117.5%1st Place
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4.32University of Rhode Island1.0313.1%1st Place
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3.37Brown University1.3420.1%1st Place
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3.16Roger Williams University1.6024.8%1st Place
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7.69University of New Hampshire-0.382.1%1st Place
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6.48Yale University0.074.8%1st Place
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5.8University of Rhode Island0.307.5%1st Place
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7.62Salve Regina University-0.702.9%1st Place
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9.28McGill University-1.031.9%1st Place
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10.06University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.3%1st Place
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8.59Fairfield University-0.662.5%1st Place
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10.68Middlebury College-1.680.7%1st Place
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10.3Bates College-1.550.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 17.5% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 13.1% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grant Adam | 20.1% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 24.8% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Willem Weinberg | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Finn Bascio | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 11.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 19.9% |
| Andrew White | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
| Robin Potter | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 32.4% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.