← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stevens Institute of Technology0.57+2.21vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College0.79+0.93vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+0.84vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute0.87-1.11vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21+0.88vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University0.22-2.16vs Predicted
-
7Monmouth University-0.96-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.2%1st Place
-
2.93Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
-
3.84Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
-
2.89Webb Institute0.870.2%1st Place
-
5.88University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
-
3.84Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
-
5.41Monmouth University-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Guenther | 19.9% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Liam Boyle | 23.4% | 21.7% | 20.9% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 12.4% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 5.9% |
| Erin Hub | 24.2% | 22.0% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Cormier | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 23.4% | 49.6% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 13.4% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 6.6% |
| Shawn Diamond | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 28.0% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.