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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.30+4.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+1.69vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.60+0.10vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.70+3.64vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.03-0.70vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.07+0.43vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.34-3.56vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.38vs Predicted
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9McGill University-1.03+0.12vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.55+0.34vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.66-2.37vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.86vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.68-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95University of Rhode Island0.306.3%1st Place
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3.69Tufts University1.5117.9%1st Place
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3.1Roger Williams University1.6024.6%1st Place
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7.64Salve Regina University-0.702.9%1st Place
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4.3University of Rhode Island1.0313.8%1st Place
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6.43Yale University0.075.2%1st Place
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3.44Brown University1.3419.6%1st Place
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7.62University of New Hampshire-0.383.0%1st Place
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9.12McGill University-1.031.8%1st Place
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10.34Bates College-1.550.7%1st Place
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8.63Fairfield University-0.661.9%1st Place
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10.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.3%1st Place
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10.61Middlebury College-1.680.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Weinberg | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 17.9% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 24.6% | 20.8% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Miller | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Beck Lorsch | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Grant Adam | 19.6% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Finn Bascio | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 10.8% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 19.4% | 26.9% |
| Andrew White | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 5.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 21.1% |
| Robin Potter | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.