Race 10A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tyler Miller 13.0% 13.3% 14.1% 13.7% 14.3% 10.9% 10.1% 5.8% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Roman 22.4% 20.3% 18.0% 12.7% 10.3% 8.0% 4.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Willem Weinberg 6.3% 6.8% 7.3% 11.2% 10.9% 12.4% 14.2% 10.0% 9.2% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Connor Rosow 18.7% 17.9% 16.7% 15.5% 12.2% 8.3% 5.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Beck Lorsch 5.0% 6.6% 7.5% 8.9% 10.3% 11.8% 11.6% 12.2% 10.8% 7.7% 4.8% 2.4% 0.4%
Finn Bascio 1.9% 2.2% 1.9% 3.2% 3.6% 5.1% 6.7% 10.4% 10.3% 15.1% 16.4% 13.3% 9.8%
Grant Adam 22.2% 18.9% 17.2% 14.5% 11.1% 8.3% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Crandall 2.9% 4.0% 4.9% 5.4% 7.9% 9.7% 10.1% 12.8% 13.4% 11.5% 10.0% 5.6% 2.0%
Andrew White 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 3.2% 5.1% 6.5% 8.3% 11.1% 12.2% 13.7% 12.5% 13.5% 5.9%
Sean Lund 2.9% 3.8% 4.7% 6.1% 7.4% 8.4% 11.9% 11.9% 14.0% 12.6% 9.0% 5.3% 1.9%
Robin Potter 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 3.8% 3.7% 5.6% 7.5% 9.3% 12.9% 18.1% 32.2%
Andy Giaya 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 2.3% 3.7% 5.8% 6.9% 7.6% 11.7% 15.6% 19.8% 21.0%
Gray Dinsel 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 2.4% 3.1% 3.8% 5.9% 8.2% 9.2% 14.6% 20.8% 26.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.