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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+1.94vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.78+2.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University0.36+2.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.33+1.81vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.09-0.92vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.81+2.32vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.99+4.23vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.99+0.90vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-1.01-0.32vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.82-1.63vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.99+0.03vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.27-0.37vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.10-1.66vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.84-11.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Rhode Island1.8026.2%1st Place
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4.39Tufts University0.7811.2%1st Place
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5.57Yale University0.367.5%1st Place
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5.81Brown University0.334.6%1st Place
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4.08College of Charleston1.0912.6%1st Place
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8.32McGill University-0.811.7%1st Place
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11.23Middlebury College-1.990.8%1st Place
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8.9University of New Hampshire-0.991.4%1st Place
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8.68Salve Regina University-1.011.8%1st Place
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8.37Fairfield University-0.821.9%1st Place
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11.03Bates College-1.990.8%1st Place
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11.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.270.8%1st Place
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11.34University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.100.5%1st Place
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2.72Roger Williams University1.8428.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 26.2% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Polek | 12.6% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Offredi | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 23.2% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Michael Cunniff | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| John Hull | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 19.4% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 28.7% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 22.3% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 28.2% | 24.9% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.