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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.20+4.64vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.77+0.95vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.13+1.03vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64-0.83vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University0.75-0.29vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-0.99vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-2.65vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.10-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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2.95Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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4.03Webb Institute1.130.1%1st Place
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3.17Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.71Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
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5.01Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
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4.35Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 24.5% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 25.4% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| James Codega | 14.1% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Chris Myers | 22.7% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Courtney Williams | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 10.2% |
| Matthew Guenther | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 15.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 6.7% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.