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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.20+4.66vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.98+2.32vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.77-0.11vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.13+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.10+1.25vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-1.00vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.64-3.80vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University0.75-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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4.32Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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2.89Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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4.07Webb Institute1.130.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.0Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
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3.2Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.62Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 23.3% |
| Ian Hunt | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 26.8% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| James Codega | 12.5% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Bryan Whittington | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 38.3% |
| Matthew Guenther | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 13.8% |
| Chris Myers | 22.8% | 22.4% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Courtney Williams | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.