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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.09+3.01vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.84+0.74vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.33+2.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.78+0.39vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.36+0.59vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.99+4.94vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80-3.98vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.99+3.44vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.82-0.64vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.81-1.54vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.27+0.59vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.99-3.24vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.10-1.86vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-1.01-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01College of Charleston1.0913.9%1st Place
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2.74Roger Williams University1.8429.2%1st Place
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5.76Brown University0.336.4%1st Place
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4.39Tufts University0.7810.9%1st Place
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5.59Yale University0.366.5%1st Place
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10.94Bates College-1.990.7%1st Place
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3.02University of Rhode Island1.8023.1%1st Place
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11.44Middlebury College-1.990.4%1st Place
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8.36Fairfield University-0.822.6%1st Place
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8.46McGill University-0.811.7%1st Place
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11.59University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.270.4%1st Place
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8.76University of New Hampshire-0.991.9%1st Place
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11.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.100.5%1st Place
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8.81Salve Regina University-1.011.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Polek | 13.9% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 29.2% | 22.8% | 20.0% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Hull | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| Declan Botwinick | 23.1% | 23.3% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 25.1% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Pierre Offredi | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 27.6% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 19.9% | 21.3% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.