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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University-0.19+3.02vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.180.00vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island-0.20+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.62+0.62vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.70-0.70vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.37-1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.80-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Northeastern University-0.1911.1%1st Place
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2.0Roger Williams University1.1844.5%1st Place
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3.96University of Rhode Island-0.2010.5%1st Place
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4.62University of Vermont-0.626.7%1st Place
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4.3Bates College-0.7010.3%1st Place
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4.26University of New Hampshire-0.3710.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Connecticut-0.807.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Smith | 11.1% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 11.1% |
| Jack Crager | 44.5% | 28.4% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 10.5% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 9.5% |
| Ryan Petrush | 6.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 20.4% |
| Colby Green | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 15.4% |
| Ted Richardsson | 10.0% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 16.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.