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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+1.89vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.20+3.73vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.98+1.29vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.13+0.05vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology0.57+0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.10+0.15vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.64-3.77vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University0.75-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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5.73Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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4.29Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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4.05Webb Institute1.130.1%1st Place
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5.05Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.23Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.61Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 25.9% | 25.0% | 18.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 25.1% |
| Ian Hunt | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 5.9% |
| James Codega | 13.5% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Guenther | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 13.2% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 38.6% |
| Chris Myers | 22.2% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Courtney Williams | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.