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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology0.57+3.97vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.77+0.94vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.20+2.68vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.13+0.04vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University0.75-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.10+0.19vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-2.62vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
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2.94Queen's University1.770.2%1st Place
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5.68Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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4.04Webb Institute1.130.1%1st Place
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4.74Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.38Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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3.05Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Guenther | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 12.6% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 24.5% | 23.9% | 18.3% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 21.4% | 25.6% |
| James Codega | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
| Courtney Williams | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 10.0% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 37.9% |
| Ian Hunt | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Chris Myers | 24.2% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.