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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.80+0.93vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.78+1.41vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.33+1.83vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.09-0.91vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.36-0.43vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.81+1.38vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.82+0.37vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.36vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.27+1.49vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.99+0.15vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-1.01-3.33vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.10-1.62vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.99-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Roger Williams University1.8429.8%1st Place
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2.93University of Rhode Island1.8025.2%1st Place
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4.41Tufts University0.7810.7%1st Place
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5.83Brown University0.335.9%1st Place
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4.09College of Charleston1.0911.9%1st Place
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5.57Yale University0.367.0%1st Place
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8.38McGill University-0.812.4%1st Place
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8.37Fairfield University-0.821.7%1st Place
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8.64University of New Hampshire-0.991.9%1st Place
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11.49University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.270.4%1st Place
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11.15Bates College-1.990.4%1st Place
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8.67Salve Regina University-1.011.7%1st Place
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11.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.100.4%1st Place
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11.39Middlebury College-1.990.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 29.8% | 23.8% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 25.2% | 21.1% | 21.6% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 11.9% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Offredi | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Michael Cunniff | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 20.2% | 27.3% |
| John Hull | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 18.9% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 24.2% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.