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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+1.91vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.98+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-0.10+3.14vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.20+1.70vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.64-1.85vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-0.95vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University0.75-2.22vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.13-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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4.35Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.7Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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3.15Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
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5.05Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
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4.78Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
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3.93Webb Institute1.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 27.1% | 21.5% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Ian Hunt | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 5.4% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 20.6% | 36.9% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 25.2% |
| Chris Myers | 21.9% | 22.7% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Guenther | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 14.8% |
| Courtney Williams | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 10.8% |
| James Codega | 13.3% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.