← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.80+1.86vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University0.78+2.35vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.84-0.31vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston1.09+0.06vs Predicted
-
5Yale University0.36+0.66vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-0.81+2.24vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.10+3.80vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University-1.01+0.46vs Predicted
-
9Brown University0.33-3.32vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-0.99-1.45vs Predicted
-
11Bates College-1.99-0.38vs Predicted
-
12Middlebury College-1.99-1.15vs Predicted
-
13Fairfield University-0.82-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.86University of Rhode Island1.8025.4%1st Place
-
4.35Tufts University0.7810.1%1st Place
-
2.69Roger Williams University1.8428.1%1st Place
-
4.06College of Charleston1.0914.6%1st Place
-
5.66Yale University0.366.9%1st Place
-
8.24McGill University-0.811.4%1st Place
-
10.8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.100.9%1st Place
-
8.46Salve Regina University-1.011.2%1st Place
-
5.68Brown University0.336.8%1st Place
-
8.55University of New Hampshire-0.991.8%1st Place
-
10.62Bates College-1.990.5%1st Place
-
10.85Middlebury College-1.990.6%1st Place
-
8.17Fairfield University-0.821.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 25.4% | 23.6% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 28.1% | 25.9% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 14.6% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Pierre Offredi | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 23.7% | 28.7% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| John Hull | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 22.4% | 25.9% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 32.5% |
| Michael Cunniff | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.