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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+1.88vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.20+3.75vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.13+1.01vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64-0.86vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology0.57+0.05vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-1.74vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University0.75-2.23vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.10-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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5.75Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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4.01Webb Institute1.130.1%1st Place
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3.14Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
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5.05Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
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4.26Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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4.77Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 26.3% | 23.5% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 26.2% |
| James Codega | 13.3% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| Chris Myers | 21.5% | 23.5% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Guenther | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 13.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 12.6% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Courtney Williams | 10.0% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 12.0% |
| Bryan Whittington | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.