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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+1.92vs Predicted
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2Yale University0.36+3.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.78+1.35vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.84-1.33vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-1.01+3.44vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.09-2.00vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.33-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.99+0.56vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.81-0.75vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.82-1.70vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.99-0.37vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.10-1.26vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.99-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of Rhode Island1.8025.9%1st Place
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5.55Yale University0.366.7%1st Place
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4.35Tufts University0.7810.9%1st Place
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2.67Roger Williams University1.8428.6%1st Place
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8.44Salve Regina University-1.011.6%1st Place
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4.0College of Charleston1.0912.9%1st Place
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5.71Brown University0.335.8%1st Place
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8.56University of New Hampshire-0.991.5%1st Place
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8.25McGill University-0.812.1%1st Place
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8.3Fairfield University-0.822.0%1st Place
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10.63Bates College-1.990.4%1st Place
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10.74University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.100.8%1st Place
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10.89Middlebury College-1.990.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 25.9% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 28.6% | 25.6% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| John Polek | 12.9% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Pierre Offredi | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| John Hull | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 21.6% | 25.4% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 21.3% | 29.8% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 22.5% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.