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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology0.57+3.99vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.10+4.22vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.77-0.10vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University0.75+0.74vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.20+0.74vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.13-2.01vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-2.65vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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2.9Queen's University1.770.2%1st Place
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4.74Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
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5.74Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
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3.99Webb Institute1.130.1%1st Place
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4.35Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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3.07Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Guenther | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 13.2% |
| Bryan Whittington | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 39.4% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 25.0% | 23.3% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Courtney Williams | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 10.5% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 21.0% | 24.8% |
| James Codega | 13.5% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
| Ian Hunt | 12.6% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 6.5% |
| Chris Myers | 22.8% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.