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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.20+4.67vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University0.75+2.78vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.77-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.10+2.21vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.64-1.88vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-1.73vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-1.88vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.13-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
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4.78Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
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2.93Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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6.21University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.12Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.27Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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5.12Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
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3.91Webb Institute1.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 24.8% |
| Courtney Williams | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 10.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 27.2% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Bryan Whittington | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 38.9% |
| Chris Myers | 22.4% | 23.0% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Ian Hunt | 11.1% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Guenther | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 15.3% |
| James Codega | 13.6% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.