← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.84+1.70vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.09+2.07vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.78+1.40vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.80-1.07vs Predicted
-
5Brown University0.33+0.60vs Predicted
-
6Yale University0.36-0.29vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University-1.01+1.37vs Predicted
-
8McGill University-0.81+0.18vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-1.99+1.93vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-0.99-1.51vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University-0.82-2.88vs Predicted
-
12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.10-1.08vs Predicted
-
13Bates College-1.99-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.7Roger Williams University1.8431.1%1st Place
-
4.07College of Charleston1.0912.3%1st Place
-
4.4Tufts University0.7810.2%1st Place
-
2.93University of Rhode Island1.8024.9%1st Place
-
5.6Brown University0.335.5%1st Place
-
5.71Yale University0.365.8%1st Place
-
8.37Salve Regina University-1.012.1%1st Place
-
8.18McGill University-0.812.1%1st Place
-
10.93Middlebury College-1.990.5%1st Place
-
8.49University of New Hampshire-0.991.7%1st Place
-
8.12Fairfield University-0.822.3%1st Place
-
10.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.100.8%1st Place
-
10.59Bates College-1.990.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 31.1% | 22.7% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 12.3% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 10.2% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 24.9% | 22.6% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Moen | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Pierre Offredi | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 33.6% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 24.0% | 31.4% |
| John Hull | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 24.8% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.