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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+2.50vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.98+2.95vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.29-0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.10+2.66vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College1.73-1.39vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University0.75-0.70vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-1.36vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Queen's University1.770.2%1st Place
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4.95Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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2.7Webb Institute2.290.3%1st Place
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6.66University of Delaware-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.61Ocean County College1.730.2%1st Place
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5.3Rutgers University0.750.1%1st Place
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5.64Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.1%1st Place
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3.65Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 16.2% | 20.6% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Ian Hunt | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 8.8% |
| Cody Stansky | 30.3% | 21.9% | 19.5% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Bryan Whittington | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 48.4% |
| Zachary Schippe | 15.3% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Courtney Williams | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 15.1% |
| Matthew Guenther | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 22.4% | 21.5% |
| Chris Myers | 16.6% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.