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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University-0.19+2.66vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.18-0.11vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island-0.20+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.37-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.62-0.87vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.70-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Northeastern University-0.1911.7%1st Place
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1.89Roger Williams University1.1847.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Rhode Island-0.2012.1%1st Place
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3.86University of New Hampshire-0.379.7%1st Place
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4.13University of Vermont-0.629.2%1st Place
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3.89Bates College-0.7010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Smith | 11.7% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 16.2% |
| Jack Crager | 47.1% | 29.4% | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 12.1% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 18.3% | 14.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 9.7% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 19.9% | 19.9% |
| Ryan Petrush | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 28.1% |
| Colby Green | 10.2% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 20.3% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.