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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.70+2.72vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.71+0.29vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.50vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.18-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.05+1.60vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.39vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.50-1.19vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.22-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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2.29Webb Institute1.710.4%1st Place
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4.5Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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3.02Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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6.6University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.61Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.81Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.45Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Wingender | 12.8% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Fast | 37.4% | 25.4% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 4.6% |
| Nick Schwenger | 21.9% | 21.6% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 20.7% | 45.0% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 22.0% | 18.9% |
| Connor Van Demark | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 18.5% | 22.3% | 23.9% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.