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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.71+1.25vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.70+1.76vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+2.60vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.05+1.58vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.18-3.00vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.50-1.20vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.22-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Webb Institute1.710.4%1st Place
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3.76Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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5.6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.54Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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3.0Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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5.8Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.47Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fast | 39.3% | 25.4% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ted Wingender | 13.1% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 21.8% | 20.1% |
| Daniel Christiani | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 5.2% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 21.5% | 44.1% |
| Nick Schwenger | 20.3% | 23.8% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Connor Van Demark | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 21.9% | 23.5% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.