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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.71+1.21vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.70+1.78vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.50vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.22+0.59vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.18-1.99vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.50-0.29vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.05-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Webb Institute1.710.4%1st Place
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3.78Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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4.5Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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4.59Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.01Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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5.71Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.66Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fast | 39.7% | 27.1% | 15.9% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 12.8% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Christiani | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 7.4% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 11.8% | 6.4% |
| Nick Schwenger | 21.1% | 23.3% | 20.3% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Connor Van Demark | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 22.6% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 21.5% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 23.5% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.