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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.71+1.22vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.18+1.01vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.70+0.75vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.22+0.60vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.25-0.51vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.50-0.25vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.05-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Webb Institute1.710.4%1st Place
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3.01Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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3.75Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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4.6Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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4.49Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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5.75Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.66Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fast | 39.5% | 26.9% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 21.2% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ted Wingender | 13.8% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 7.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 6.3% |
| Daniel Christiani | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 5.2% |
| Connor Van Demark | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 20.5% | 23.2% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 21.4% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 23.4% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.