← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+2.00vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University-0.32+0.93vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia-0.72+0.40vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University0.46-1.92vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-1.66-0.28vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-2.51-0.21vs Predicted
-
7Monmouth University-2.85-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.0Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6417.8%1st Place
-
2.93Princeton University-0.3220.0%1st Place
-
3.4University of Virginia-0.7214.8%1st Place
-
2.08Princeton University0.4639.8%1st Place
-
4.72Princeton University-1.665.0%1st Place
-
5.79Drexel University-2.511.5%1st Place
-
6.08Monmouth University-2.851.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Maguire | 17.8% | 22.4% | 22.7% | 20.8% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Carly Mraz | 20.0% | 22.7% | 22.4% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 14.8% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 25.4% | 16.9% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 39.8% | 28.9% | 19.4% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Calif Chen | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 30.7% | 24.7% | 9.4% |
| Sarah Schon | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 14.4% | 33.1% | 37.1% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 27.4% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.