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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.70+2.68vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+2.57vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.71-0.76vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.18-1.00vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.50+0.82vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40-0.41vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.22-2.42vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.05-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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4.57Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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2.24Webb Institute1.710.4%1st Place
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3.0Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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5.82Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.59Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.58Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Wingender | 13.7% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Christiani | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 7.1% |
| Nathan Fast | 38.2% | 26.4% | 18.3% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nick Schwenger | 21.0% | 23.9% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Connor Van Demark | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 18.2% | 23.2% | 22.6% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 20.7% | 19.6% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 22.4% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.