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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.71+1.24vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.18+1.01vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+2.57vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+0.55vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.22-0.43vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.70-2.27vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.50-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.05-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Webb Institute1.710.4%1st Place
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3.01Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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5.57Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.55Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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4.57Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.73Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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5.81Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fast | 39.1% | 26.2% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Schwenger | 20.8% | 23.9% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 20.1% |
| Daniel Christiani | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 5.2% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 7.9% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 5.9% |
| Ted Wingender | 13.7% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Connor Van Demark | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 18.7% | 21.1% | 24.4% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 22.3% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.