← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University0.46+1.08vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+1.09vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University-1.33+1.42vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia-0.72-0.53vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University-2.85+1.08vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.32-2.94vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University-2.51-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08Princeton University0.4641.0%1st Place
-
3.09Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6417.7%1st Place
-
4.42Princeton University-1.336.4%1st Place
-
3.47University of Virginia-0.7212.8%1st Place
-
6.08Monmouth University-2.851.8%1st Place
-
3.06Princeton University-0.3217.8%1st Place
-
5.81Drexel University-2.512.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ossian Kamal | 41.0% | 28.1% | 18.1% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 17.7% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 14.8% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Robert Rubin | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 30.2% | 20.5% | 6.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 12.8% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 23.2% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 9.4% | 27.4% | 52.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 17.8% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Schon | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 35.6% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.