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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.71+1.23vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.70+1.75vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+1.49vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology-0.40+1.62vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.22-0.42vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.18-3.02vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.50-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.05-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Webb Institute1.710.4%1st Place
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3.75Ocean County College0.700.1%1st Place
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4.49Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.1%1st Place
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5.62Stevens Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.58Drexel University0.220.1%1st Place
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2.98Queen's University1.180.2%1st Place
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5.83Rutgers University-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fast | 39.4% | 26.5% | 16.7% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 12.8% | 15.1% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Christiani | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 5.3% |
| Andrew DaPonte | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 21.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 12.5% | 6.2% |
| Nick Schwenger | 20.5% | 24.6% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Connor Van Demark | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 23.3% | 24.1% |
| Caitlin McEwen | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 22.5% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.